Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.368484 0.489093 0.628258 0.798358 0.998313 1.223645 1.494474
2025-11-23 0.206699 0.348854 0.538629 0.799557 1.138123 1.552232 2.086346
2025-11-30 0.129792 0.279639 0.509215 0.858067 1.347033 1.981957 2.841782
2025-12-07 0.078023 0.220792 0.472903 0.893549 1.524101 2.384261 3.594903
2025-12-14 0.043549 0.169961 0.430019 0.905351 1.662932 2.741749 4.310247
2025-12-21 0.021207 0.124962 0.379105 0.889455 1.752591 3.031701 4.946541
2025-12-28 0.010522 0.097957 0.351482 0.904283 1.886145 3.388020 5.687792
2026-01-04 0.004377 0.074770 0.321277 0.905686 1.993851 3.708225 6.388155
2026-01-11 0.001139 0.052494 0.280718 0.875892 2.041911 3.936409 6.960999
2026-01-18 0.000152 0.036842 0.248282 0.853894 2.097795 4.175660 7.555262
2026-01-25 0.000004 0.027576 0.230010 0.858417 2.199907 4.490670 8.271017
2026-02-01 NaN 0.017930 0.200421 0.827625 2.230149 4.687682 8.811625
2026-02-08 NaN 0.014703 0.198122 0.867575 2.404375 5.135840 9.761452
2026-02-15 NaN 0.010248 0.183243 0.870153 2.503926 5.463128 10.534669
2026-02-22 NaN 0.009148 0.189085 0.932897 2.731281 6.016804 11.678084
2026-03-01 NaN 0.007307 0.186743 0.970874 2.909210 6.491333 12.708011
2026-03-08 NaN 0.005135 0.176920 0.983572 3.033836 6.877049 13.605655
2026-03-15 NaN 0.002973 0.159441 0.966822 3.092408 7.147725 14.324648
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001967 0.152247 0.982589 3.223187 7.550195 15.264475
2026-03-29 NaN 0.001121 0.141890 0.984102 3.320945 7.895282 16.116999
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000417 0.124268 0.952530 3.338843 8.094592 16.734001
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000118 0.110146 0.929204 3.372964 8.323376 17.403135
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000033 0.103257 0.934005 3.474803 8.680692 18.292538